FXUS64 KBRO 150538 AAA AFDBRO Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Brownsville TX 1238 AM CDT Wed Apr 15 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1237 AM CDT Wed Apr 15 2026 Key Messages: - Breezy conditions will continue this week. - A moderate risk of rip currents will likely prevail through the week. - Temperatures above average through this week with a cool down late this weekend with the passage of a cold front. - Unsettled conditions return this weekend in association with a cold front moving through Texas. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1013 PM CDT Tue Apr 14 2026 High pressure over the Gulf into the southeastern US will maintain warm, breezy, and dry conditions through the week. Temperatures will continue to warm through Saturday with low to mid 90s expected for much of the region by Thursday. Coastal areas will remain in the upper 70s to upper 80s. Moderate to strong southeasterly winds will continue this week with Friday being the breeziest day. While we look to stay below Wind Advisory criteria, this will be something we monitor closely. As we head into the weekend, a cold front moving through Texas will bring rain and thunderstorms Saturday afternoon through Monday. The aforementioned front will move through Deep South Texas on Sunday which will also be the day of our highest rain chances, which have gone up slightly to 50-60%. Cooler temperatures are expected in wake of the front with highs only in the 70s for Sunday. A moderate risk of rip currents is expected through Wednesday and will likely increase by this weekend. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1237 AM CDT Wed Apr 15 2026 MVFR to VFR will prevail at the aerodromes through the next 24 hours. Moderate to breezy winds and mostly cloudy skies will also occur. && .MARINE... Issued at 1013 PM CDT Tue Apr 14 2026 Generally favorable marine conditions are expected on the waters off the lower Texas coast with moderate winds and waves. Could see some caution conditions at times each day through the weekend due to an enhanced pressure gradient. Headed in the late week, winds will increase ahead of a frontal boundary which could lead to Small Craft Advisories on Friday for the Laguna Madre and nearshore waters. In wake of a frontal passage on Sunday winds will pick up again with Small Craft Advisories likely. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... BROWNSVILLE 86 73 88 73 / 0 0 0 0 HARLINGEN 89 70 90 70 / 0 0 0 0 MCALLEN 91 74 93 74 / 0 0 0 0 RIO GRANDE CITY 91 72 95 72 / 0 0 0 0 SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 79 74 80 74 / 0 0 0 0 BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 85 71 86 72 / 0 0 0 0 && .BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None. && $$