FXUS64 KBRO 141725 AAB AFDBRO Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Brownsville TX 1225 PM CDT Tue Apr 14 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1219 PM CDT Tue Apr 14 2026 Key Messages: - Breezy conditions will continue this week. - A moderate risk of rip currents will likely to prevail through the week. - Temperatures will continue to warm through the week, with a cool down late this weekend. - Unsettled weather will return this weekend in association with a cold front moving through Texas. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1013 PM CDT Mon Apr 13 2026 High pressure over the Gulf into the southeastern US will maintain warm, breezy, and dry conditions through the week. Temperatures will continue to warm, reaching the 90s for much of the region by Thursday. Coastal areas will remain in the upper 70s into the 80s. As we head into the weekend a cold front will move through Texas bringing with it another chance of rain and thunderstorms Saturday afternoon through Monday. The aforementioned front will move through Deep South Texas on Sunday which will also be the day for our highest rain chances (35-50%). Cooler temperatures are expected in wake of the front, with highs in the mid 70s to mid 80s on Sunday and mid 80s on Monday. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1219 PM CDT Tue Apr 14 2026 Partly cloudy skies will leave primarily VFR conditions for the rest of Tuesday afternoon and evening, although brief MVFR cannot be ruled out under patches of denser cloud cover around 3000 ft AGL. Southeasterly winds between 15 to 20 kts with gusts to 30 kts will continue into the evening. MVFR ceilings will build overnight and persist into Wednesday morning. Winds decrease overnight, with gusts around 20 kt, before increasing again mid morning. && .MARINE... Issued at 1013 PM CDT Mon Apr 13 2026 Generally favorable marine conditions are expected on the waters off the lower Texas coast with moderate winds and wave heights. Could see some caution conditions each afternoon, mainly on the Laguna Madre and nearshore waters due to a locally enhanced pressure gradient. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... BROWNSVILLE 73 87 73 87 / 0 0 0 0 HARLINGEN 70 89 70 90 / 0 0 0 0 MCALLEN 74 91 74 92 / 0 0 0 0 RIO GRANDE CITY 72 92 72 94 / 0 0 0 0 SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 73 79 74 79 / 0 0 0 0 BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 71 85 71 86 / 0 0 0 0 && .BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...68 LONG TERM....68 AVIATION...69-HK