FXUS61 KCAR 150944
AFDCAR

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Caribou ME
544 AM EDT Wed Apr 15 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
- Updated aviation section to cover LIFR conditions at times
  today.

- Removed any mentioning of thunder for Thursday afternoon into
  Thursday night due to stable SE winds off the cold Gulf of
  Maine Waters.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Mild weather will continue for the rest of the week with
additional rain events Thursday night into Friday and again
Sunday into Sunday night.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...Mild weather will continue for the rest of the
week with additional rain events Thursday night into Friday and
again Sunday into Sunday night.

KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION...

Mild weather is expected to continue for the rest of the week with
highs in the low to mid 50s today and Thursday and the mid to upper
50s Friday into the weekend well inland. Coastal communities will be
a bit cooler and may have some marine fog on occasion.

Small weather systems will bring additional rain with the next
system coming Thursday night into Friday morning. This one will give
from a quarter inch or less over the north to a half inch or more
over the Central Highlands, Bangor Region to Interior Downeast
sections of the state. The next rain system will come Sunday
into Sunday night when a quarter to a half inch of rain may
fall. Sunday night into Monday may feature a wintry mix across
the north but significant uncertainty exists on ptypes due to
wide range of solutions in boundary layer temperatures in the
globals/ensembles.

The combination of rainfall and the melting of the remaining
snow cover over the far north will likely cause slow rises on
the rivers to normal or slightly above normal flows for this
time of year. Expecting northern rivers to increase 5-10kcfs
above levels currently, on the Penobscot expecting an increase
of 5-15kcfs and 1-3kcfs for all other main stem rivers. No
river flooding is expected. Ice has flushed on all rivers
except the Allagash and St. John Rivers. However, flushing is
ongoing right now on those rivers with no significant problems.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Today...LIFR across the south and IFR across the north early
this morning, then IFR throughout the region from midday into
mid afternoon, dropping to LIFR throughout the area late this
afternoon.

Tonight...IFR, possibly dropping to LIFR at times. SE winds
less than 5 kt.

Thursday...IFR to LIFR in the morning, then IFR during the afternoon
with a few breaks to MVFR possible in the north. SE wind around 5
kt.

Friday...AM IFR/LIFR due to RA/FG becoming MVFR during the day
with VFR possible late day. N-NE winds around 5kt. Fri night
expecting possible BR/FG and VCSH especially at southern terms.
NE winds 5kt or less.

Saturday...VFR. MVFR cigs possible especially at BGR and BHB. SE
winds 5-15kt.

Sunday...MVFR/IFR with RA likely. S winds 10-15kt gusting to
20kt shifting SW late day.

&&

.MARINE...
Winds will be light and seas around 2 to 3 ft today, tonight and
Thursday. Some fog and mist is likely, especially late tonight into
early Thursday morning. Winds/seas expected to remain below SCA
conditions through Sunday. Late Sunday night into Monday is the
next chance of SCA winds/seas. Rain/fog may reduce vsby Friday
then again on Sunday.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...MB/JS
AVIATION...MB/JS