FZUS61 KCLE 161346
GLFLE

Open Lake Forecast for Lake Erie
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
946 AM EDT Thu Apr 16 2026

For waters beyond five nautical miles of shore on Lake Erie

Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest
1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of
the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.

.SYNOPSIS...
A weak trough averaging 29.90 inches resides over Lake Erie for
the time being before a cold front moves southeastward across the
lake this evening through tonight. Behind the front, a high
pressure ridge averaging 30.00 inches builds from the northern
Great Lakes through Friday. During Friday night through
Saturday morning, the ridge will exit eastward and allow a warm
front to sweep northward across Lake Erie. A cold front should
then sweep eastward across Lake Erie late Saturday afternoon
through Saturday night. Behind the cold front, a trough averaging
29.90 inches should linger over the lake through Sunday before a
ridge averaging 30.30 inches builds from the west by Monday. On
Tuesday, the ridge should exit eastward and allow a warm front to
sweep northward across Lake Erie.

LEZ162>164-162030-
Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM
offshoreline to US-Canadian border-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
946 AM EDT Thu Apr 16 2026

.REST OF TODAY...Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. A chance of
showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms late this morning,
then a chance of showers and thunderstorms this afternoon. Waves
1 to 2 feet.
.TONIGHT...West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming north. A chance of
showers and thunderstorms early. Waves 2 feet or less.
.FRIDAY...Northeast winds 10 knots or less becoming east. Waves
1 foot or less.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...East winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south 15 to
20 knots. A chance of showers overnight. Waves 2 feet or less.
.SATURDAY...South winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west. Showers
with a chance of thunderstorms during the day, then a chance of
showers Saturday night. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to
4 feet.
.SUNDAY...West winds 15 to 25 knots becoming northwest. A chance
of rain showers during the day. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to
3 to 5 feet, then subsiding to 2 to 4 feet.
.MONDAY...Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming south. Waves
1 to 3 feet.

Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.

$$

LEZ061-165>169-162030-
Ripley to Buffalo NY extending from 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Willowick to Geneva-on-the-
Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border-Geneva-on-
the-Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
946 AM EDT Thu Apr 16 2026

.REST OF TODAY...Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to
15 to 20 knots. A chance of showers with a slight chance of
thunderstorms late this morning, then showers likely with a
chance of thunderstorms early this afternoon. A chance of showers
and thunderstorms late. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
.TONIGHT...Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northwest. A
chance of showers and thunderstorms early, then a slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms late in the evening. A slight chance
of showers after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
.FRIDAY...Northwest winds less than 10 knots becoming northeast.
Waves 1 foot or less.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...East winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southeast 15 to
20 knots. Waves 2 feet or less.
.SATURDAY...South winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west. Rain
showers with a chance of thunderstorms during the day, then a
chance of rain showers Saturday night. Waves 2 to 4 feet building
to 3 to 5 feet.
.SUNDAY...West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming northwest. A chance
of rain showers during the day. Waves 3 to 6 feet.
.MONDAY...Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming south. Waves
3 to 5 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet.

Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.

$$

LEZ161-162030-
MAFOR 1615/
ERIE WEST 1/3 13510 11600 11700 12800 11200. A chance of showers
late this morning, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms
this afternoon. A chance of showers and thunderstorms this
evening. Waves 2 feet or less.

ERIE CENTRAL 1/3 11510 11516 11510 12600 13700. A chance of
thunderstorms this afternoon and evening. Waves 1 to 3 feet.

ERIE EAST 1/3 11510 11526 11510 11500 14600. A chance of
thunderstorms this afternoon. Waves 1 to 2 feet.

$$