FXUS62 KFFC 152224 AFDFFC Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Peachtree City GA 624 PM EDT Wed Apr 15 2026 ...New 00Z Aviation Discussion... .KEY MESSAGES... - A Fire Danger Statement is in effect across north and portions of central Georgia through this evening. Fire weather concerns will persist this week given the ongoing low relative humidities, dry vegetation, and warm temperatures. - Temperatures will remain well above normal through Saturday. Some daily record highs may be broken. - Rain chances will increase across north GA Sat night, but appreciable rainfall is very unlikely, so worsening drought conditions are expected. && .SHORT TERM... (This afternoon through Thursday) Issued at 242 PM EDT Wed Apr 15 2026 Relative humidity minima are forecast to be around 25-35 percent during the afternoons of Thursday and Friday. Surface winds will be southwest at around 6-12 mph on Thursday and west at 4-8 mph on Friday. Gusts to near 20 mph are possible on Thursday afternoon, with the risk higher for areas of higher terrain. 20 foot winds are expected to be similar to those at the surface, possibly 1-3 mph faster. Mixing height maxima will be around 6000-7000 feet on Thursday and 7000-9000 on Friday. Though there is the potential for some rain showers tomorrow afternoon into the evening, mostly over north Georgia (around 10-30% chance), wetting rains are unlikely. Note: Due to ongoing drought and lack of rainfall, critical fire weather conditions will be reached at relative humidity of 30% or less. && .LONG TERM... (Friday morning through next Tuesday) Issued at 242 PM EDT Wed Apr 15 2026 Staying Warm, and Dry for Most through Saturday: The extended periods begin right where the short term leaves off with dry and warm conditions continuing. With zero precip chances Fri, and Sat, temps expected to rise well above seasonal norms with highs in the middle 80s to middle 90s across north and central GA. The models are showing the ridge over the region weakening Sat as a weak frontal boundary nears NW GA Sat night. the biggest issue is the atmosphere is extremely dry ahead of this front so as it pushes into GA it dries out and most of the area will only see increased cloud cover. Portions of NW GA will see some light showers Sat night into Sun morning but only expecting 0.1" to 0.25" total for area North and West of Carrollton, to Atlanta, to Gainesville line. Unfortunately, even with this frontal boundary moving through it is very likely not going to support the coverage and amount of rainfall necessary to put a dent in the Severe (D2) to Extreme Drought (D3) that covers much of the CWA. The front is expected to move south and east of the area Sun night bringing in a cooler/drier airmass for the beginning of next week. Temps Mon morning will be down into the 40s with highs Mon mainly in the 70s. More importantly relative humidity values will be in the teens to lower 20s Monday and Tuesday keeping dangerous fire weather conditions across the area. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 621 PM EDT Wed Apr 15 2026 VFR through period with sporadic few cu at 5kft and few cirrus over 25kft. Winds remain generally SW during day at 5 to 10 kts becoming light to variable each night. //ATL Confidence...00Z Update... High confidence all elements. SM && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Athens 61 87 62 89 / 0 0 0 0 Atlanta 63 86 63 89 / 0 0 0 0 Blairsville 55 82 56 85 / 0 0 10 0 Cartersville 59 87 59 90 / 0 0 10 0 Columbus 60 87 60 90 / 0 0 0 0 Gainesville 62 86 62 88 / 0 0 0 0 Macon 60 88 61 90 / 0 0 0 0 Rome 58 87 60 90 / 0 0 10 0 Peachtree City 58 86 59 90 / 0 0 0 0 Vidalia 61 92 62 93 / 0 0 0 0 && .FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...CRS LONG TERM....01 AVIATION...SM