FNUS72 KJAX 172322 FWSJAX Spot Forecast for Conner-Nelson Rd (45)...Florida Forest Service National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 722 PM EDT Fri Apr 17 2026 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 2000 EDT on April 17. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. Please contact our office at (904) 741-4370 if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. .DISCUSSION...The Atlantic sea breeze will reach the fire area around 2000 with east-to-west winds around 7-12 mph at canopy and at eye-level in unsheltered areas. Winds will ease to near 5 mph or less by 10 PM, favoring a southeasterly direction. A similar weather set up will persist through Saturday with near record high temperatures and critically low afternoon humidity. Anticipate a slightly later arrival of the Atlantic sea breeze tomorrow, around 8-9 PM with speeds around 10 mph. Not expecting any fog tonight or Saturday night. A watch out situation expected Sunday as a dry cold front passes Sunday afternoon. Southwesterly winds will become breezy ahead of the front with gusts up to 20 mph before a quick shift to northwesterly Sunday afternoon with gusts pushing closer to 25 mph while humidity drops to around 30-35%. .REST OF TONIGHT... TIME (EDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........5 7 5 4 3 3 13 13 14 14 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............81 77 74 71 68 66 65 63 62 60 RH..............39 47 50 55 61 63 63 67 67 69 Heat index (F)..81 77 74 71 68 66 65 63 62 60 20 FT wind dir..E ESE SE S S SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT wind spd..8 7 5 3 3 3 2 2 1 1 20 FT wind gust.11 10 8 7 7 7 6 6 5 5 Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 Transp wind dir.SE SE S S S SW SW W W W Transp wind spd.7 8 9 10 10 9 8 8 8 8 Dispersion idx..3 4 4 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 LVORI...........2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 .SATURDAY... TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........17 23 31 23 21 21 24 28 25 36 38 37 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............59 59 61 67 76 82 86 89 92 92 92 94 RH..............75 72 70 65 52 43 36 33 30 30 29 27 Heat index (F)..59 59 61 67 76 82 85 87 90 90 90 92 20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT wind spd..1 1 1 1 2 2 3 3 3 3 5 3 20 FT wind gust.3 3 3 3 3 6 7 8 8 9 10 10 Mix hgt (kft)...0.2 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.8 3.0 4.7 6.6 8.0 9.0 9.4 8.6 Transp wind dir.W W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW Transp wind spd.8 7 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 Dispersion idx..3 3 5 7 15 27 42 56 68 78 84 80 LVORI...........3 3 3 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 .SATURDAY NIGHT... TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........49 57 48 65 63 61 61 62 62 69 75 82 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............92 89 85 80 76 74 72 70 68 67 65 65 RH..............29 34 39 45 52 53 57 61 65 68 70 70 Heat index (F)..90 88 84 80 76 74 72 70 68 67 65 65 20 FT wind dir..SW SW S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT wind spd..3 3 3 2 2 2 1 1 2 2 1 2 20 FT wind gust.9 9 8 8 8 7 7 6 6 6 7 7 Mix hgt (kft)...6.2 3.1 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 Transp wind dir.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W Transp wind spd.8 8 9 9 9 9 9 8 8 8 8 8 Dispersion idx..63 36 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 LVORI...........1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 .SUNDAY... TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........79 75 72 67 62 57 57 58 58 65 71 78 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 Temp............64 64 65 69 74 79 83 85 87 87 87 85 RH..............73 73 73 68 62 54 48 45 40 39 39 40 Heat index (F)..64 64 65 69 74 79 83 85 87 86 86 84 20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW W W W W W W W NW NW 20 FT wind spd..2 2 2 3 5 6 6 7 7 8 8 8 20 FT wind gust.7 7 7 8 9 10 12 14 15 16 16 17 Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.6 3.9 5.4 6.6 7.2 6.6 5.3 4.0 Transp wind dir.W W W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW Transp wind spd.8 8 9 10 12 13 13 13 12 13 15 16 Dispersion idx..4 4 9 19 39 63 84 94 96 96 93 70 LVORI...........3 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 $$ Forecaster...Boothe Requested by...Sierra Blackwell Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2610642.0/JAX .DELDT 04/17/26 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL matthew.klindt@fdacs.gov,michael.work@fdacs.gov,Desiree.liberacki@fdacs.gov,chaz.wollitz@fdacs.gov,sierra.blackwell@fdacs.govv