FXUS62 KKEY 141736 AAA
AFDKEY

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Key West FL
136 PM EDT Tue Apr 14 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect for all Florida Keys
  coastal waters overnight. Breezy conditions will persist through
  at least Tuesday evening.

- Little to no measurable rain will maintain continued moderate
  drought conditions in the Florida Keys for the next week.

- Temperatures will remain near normal, with highs in the lower
  80s, and lows in the lower 70s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 133 PM EDT Tue Apr 14 2026
VFR and gusty easterly breezes will prevail at the EYW and MTH
terminals through the evening. Nocturnal stabilization will
result in decreased gusts after 04Z, only to return by mid morning
(~14Z) on Wednesday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 959 AM EDT Tue Apr 14 2026
High pressure centered between the Atlantic Bight and Bermuda
supports fresh northeast to east breezes across the Florida Keys
this morning. Dewpoints are in the upper 50s to near 60, making
for a relatively comfortable mid-April morning. The 12Z KKEY RAOB
sampled a 6.0 degC inversion near 820 mb, with a shallow mixed
layer barely capable of small patches of drizzle. The forecast
calls for slight rain chances (10% or less) and highs in the lower
80s. The only needed modification this morning was an update to
the Fire Weather Forecast that highlights moderate Fire Danger
Risk and 20 ft winds greater than 15 mph. With dewpoints in the
upper 50s, some areas may see RH values fall into the upper 30s.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 959 AM EDT Tue Apr 14 2026
A high pressure system over the central North Atlantic
will maintain fresh northeast to east breezes. Occasional fast-
moving light showers cannot be ruled out, especially in the
overnight periods. Breezes may briefly lull during the late
afternoon and early evening across the Gulf waters due to the
heating of South Florida. As the high moves farther eastward and
slowly weakens, easterly breezes will modestly slacken for
Thursday and Friday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Key West  82  73  82  73 /  10  10  10  10
Marathon  80  72  80  73 /  10  10  10  10

&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 5 PM EDT this afternoon for
     GMZ052>055-072>075.

&&

$$

Public/Marine/Fire...CLR
Aviation/Nowcasts....CLR
Data Acquisition.....DR

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