FNUS74 KMOB 151046 FWSMOB Spot Forecast for Rafey Fire...Alabama National Weather Service Mobile AL 546 AM CDT Wed Apr 15 2026 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0630 CDT on April 15. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. ...HIGH DISPERSION INDEX AROUND 86 EXPECTED REST OF TODAY OVER THE BURN AREA... .DISCUSSION...We will continue with dry conditions as afternoon minimum relative humidity values will be near 35% today. 20 ft wind gusts will be up to near 20 mph with transport winds mostly southerly. Afternoon dispersion values will be good. For Thursday, the minimum relative humidity should increase to around 45%. 20 ft wind gusts will be up to near 20 mph with transport winds mostly south-southwesterly to southerly. Dispersion values will be good. Fog potential and other remarks...Fog is possible this morning and Thursday morning. Some concerns for super fog this morning around the burn site with visibilities likely well below 1/4 mile. Fog should mix out around 9 to 10 am each morning. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent) then becoming sunny (15-25 percent). Areas of dense fog early in the morning. Chance of pcpn......0 percent. Max temperature.....Around 84. Min humidity........37 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 9 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Mixing height.......5700 ft AGL. Mixing height (m)...122-1737 meters AGL. Transport winds.....South 5 to 14 mph. Transport winds m/s.South 2 to 6 meters/second. Dispersion index....5 increasing to 82. LVORI...............5. Stability class.....2. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........58 66 61 24 18 13 11 28 21 24 20 24 Weather cov.....ARS ARS ARS Weather type....FOG FOG FOG Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............59 61 63 67 74 78 80 82 83 83 84 82 RH..............100 100 100 87 69 56 49 43 40 38 37 40 20 FT wind dir..SSE SE SSE S S S S S S S S S 20 FT wind spd..2 2 3 5 6 7 8 9 10 10 10 9 20 FT wind gust.6 6 7 9 12 14 15 16 17 17 17 17 Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.7 1.9 3.4 4.2 4.9 5.3 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.5 Mix hgt (km)....0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.0 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S S S S S Transp wind spd.6 5 7 8 9 12 13 13 13 14 14 14 Trans wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S S S Trans spd (m/s).3 2 3 4 4 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 Dispersion idx..3 5 7 20 40 55 67 78 81 85 86 86 LVORI...........9 9 8 5 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Patchy fog overnight. Areas of fog after 3 am. Chance of pcpn......0 percent. Min temperature.....Around 62. Max humidity........100 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 7 mph early in the evening becoming light. Mixing height.......400 ft AGL. Mixing height (m)...122-1676 meters AGL. Transport winds.....South 8 to 15 mph. Transport winds m/s.South 4 to 7 meters/second. Dispersion index....91 decreasing to 6. LVORI...............5. Stability class.....4. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........16 18 22 30 37 36 40 51 46 45 53 54 Weather cov..... PTY PTY PTY ARS ARS Weather type.... FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............81 78 73 70 68 67 66 65 65 64 64 64 RH..............44 50 64 73 84 90 93 97 97 100 100 100 20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT wind spd..8 7 6 6 5 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 20 FT wind gust.16 16 14 13 12 10 9 9 8 8 7 7 Mix hgt (kft)...5.5 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 Mix hgt (km)....1.7 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S S S S S Transp wind spd.15 14 12 12 12 10 10 9 9 9 8 8 Trans wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S S S Trans spd (m/s).7 6 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 Dispersion idx..91 7 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 LVORI...........1 3 3 4 5 6 6 9 9 9 9 9 .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Areas of fog early in the morning. Chance of pcpn......10 percent. Max temperature.....Around 85. Min humidity........46 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 8 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Mixing height.......5300 ft AGL. Mixing height (m)...122-1615 meters AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 7 to 12 mph. Transport winds m/s.Southwest 3 to 5 meters/second. Dispersion index....8 increasing to 23 late in the morning, then increasing to 34 late in the morning increasing to 46 late in the morning increasing to 62 increasing to 66 early in the afternoon decreasing to 56. LVORI...............5. Stability class.....2. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........55 60 33 37 40 39 39 38 36 34 32 25 Weather cov.....ARS ARS ARS Weather type....FOG FOG FOG Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 Temp............64 63 66 70 75 78 81 82 84 85 85 84 RH..............100 100 90 78 66 58 53 49 46 46 46 48 20 FT wind dir..S S SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW 20 FT wind spd..2 2 3 5 6 7 7 8 8 9 9 8 20 FT wind gust.7 7 8 9 12 13 14 14 15 15 15 16 Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 1.2 2.4 3.5 4.3 4.9 5.1 5.3 5.2 4.7 4.7 Mix hgt (km)....0.1 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.4 1.4 Transp wind dir.S S SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW Transp wind spd.8 7 8 8 8 9 10 12 12 10 9 10 Trans wind dir..S S SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW Trans spd (m/s).4 3 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 4 4 4 Dispersion idx..3 6 12 23 34 46 57 66 69 63 55 57 LVORI...........9 9 7 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 $$ Forecaster...8 Requested by...Andy Rier Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2610179.2/MOB .DELDT 04/15/26 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL andrew.reier@forestry.alabama.gov