FXUS64 KSHV 141728
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1228 PM CDT Tue Apr 14 2026

...New DISCUSSION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1215 PM CDT Tue Apr 14 2026

  - Chance for some showers and thunderstorms Wednesday into Thursday
    with an upper low riding over the Plains on SW flow.

  - The weekend cold front is looking earlier on Saturday with
    more needed rainfall and cooler readings Sunday into Tuesday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1137 AM CDT Tue Apr 14 2026

Surface ridge across the Atlantic Ocean extending westward across the
northern gulf coast combined with a low across the Kansas will
maintain increased southerly flow of gulf moisture through the
middle of the weekend. An eastward moving upper-level trough
across the Desert Southwest into the Central Plains will lead to
steepening lapse rates across eastern Oklahoma and northeast Texas
this evening and overnight as heights gradually fall across these
areas. The combination of a moist boundary layer and increasing
instability aloft could allow for scattered showers and
thunderstorms across northeast Texas and southeast Oklahoma
overnight. Although the ArkLaTex is outside of the SPC Day 1
severe weather threat outlook, a few strong storms could venture
into portions of southeast Oklahoma allowing for gusty winds and
possibly small hail near daybreak.

Another shortwave trough to swing east across the Texas panhandle
into Oklahoma on Wednesday evening allowing for another round of
convection across southeast Oklahoma and Arkansas into the
overnight hours. A few strong storms may be possible across
portions of southeast Oklahoma with widespread rainfall expanding
into Arkansas as upper forcing wanes.

Conditions to improve on Thursday as weak upper-level ridging
builds across the region. However, southwest flow to return by
Friday allowing for increased instability ahead of a frontal
boundary that will move across the region on Saturday. Could see
widespread showers and thunderstorms across the entirety of the
ArkLaTex on Saturday, lingering across areas south of Intestate 20
into Saturday evening.

Otherwise, cool and dry high pressure to build areawide by Sunday
with highs in the lower 70s and lows Monday morning in the mid to
upper 40s. /05/


&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 646 AM CDT Tue Apr 14 2026

Extensive areas of low MVFR cigs have overspread much of the
region this morning, and will persist through late morning before
slowly returning to VFR by late morning/midday. Cu cigs should
linger through the afternoon though across much of E TX/NW LA/SW
AR before scattering out, but will scatter out a bit sooner over
SCntrl AR/NCntrl LA, before eventually dissipating around/shortly
after 00Z. While some thin cirrus will linger across the region
this evening, low MVFR cigs should redevelop over SE TX by 06Z,
and quickly spread NNE across the region overnight, before lifting
again/returning to VFR by late morning/midday Wednesday. S winds
will increase to 10-15kts with gusts to 22kts before diminishing
to 5-10kts after 00Z. /15/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1240 AM CDT Mon Apr 13 2026

Spotter activation will not be needed until late Wednesday. /24/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  65  85  67  87 /   0   0  20  20
MLU  63  88  66  89 /   0   0  10  20
DEQ  63  80  62  83 /  20  40  80  30
TXK  67  85  67  86 /  10  20  60  20
ELD  62  85  64  86 /   0   0  30  30
TYR  67  84  68  86 /   0  30  40  10
GGG  66  84  67  86 /   0  20  30  10
LFK  65  85  67  88 /   0  10  10  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&


$$

DISCUSSION...05
AVIATION...15