FXUS62 KTBW 142353
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
753 PM EDT Tue Apr 14 2026

...New UPDATE, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Critical RH values across the region the next few days.

- Above average temperatures continue through the week.

- Moderate to extreme drought conditions continue.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 753 PM EDT Tue Apr 14 2026

Surface high pressure building in from the north has kept warm and
dry conditions in place today, with the warming trend forecast to
continue through the rest of the week. The biggest forecast
concern overnight is the possibility of patchy fog developing by
early Wednesday morning, mainly over the Nature Coast under light
winds and dew points in the upper 50s. However, HREF guidance
continues to show that the probability of dense fog developing is
too limited to include in the forecast at this time.

Overall, the forecast looks on track, and no significant changes
are planned for the evening update.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 753 PM EDT Tue Apr 14 2026

VFR conditions should continue through the next 24 hours. There is
an outside chance of some patchy fog late tonight/early Wednesday
morning, but confidence is too low to mention fog in the TAFs at
this time.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 206 PM EDT Tue Apr 14 2026

Strong ridging over the area will keep our winds out of an
easterly direction through Saturday. Winds will be little higher
today and tomorrow around 10 to 15 knots. These winds will calm
down for Thursday through Saturday and sit around 5 to 10 knots.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  65  86  65  86 /   0   0   0   0
FMY  63  87  63  88 /   0   0   0   0
GIF  61  87  62  88 /   0   0   0   0
SRQ  63  85  63  85 /   0   0   0   0
BKV  56  88  56  88 /   0   0   0   0
SPG  70  87  70  86 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION...Fleming
PREVIOUS MARINE...Shiveley