FXUS62 KTBW 141813 AFDTBW Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 213 PM EDT Tue Apr 14 2026 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER... .KEY MESSAGES... - Critical RH values across the region the next few days. - Above average temperatures continue through the week. - Moderate to extreme drought conditions continue. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 206 PM EDT Tue Apr 14 2026 The story through the week will be the dry and hot weather. This is all thanks to a strong ridging across much of the southeast that will remain till Sunday. Each day high temperatures will increase by a few degrees topping out in the low to mid 90's on the weekend. A weak cold front is expected to push through on Monday. Sadly we not expecting much rain with the system with only about a 10 or 20 percent chance. However it should help to bring temperatures back down near average by next Tuesday. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 206 PM EDT Tue Apr 14 2026 VFR conditions through the period with winds out of an easterly direction. && .MARINE... Issued at 206 PM EDT Tue Apr 14 2026 Strong ridging over the area will keep our winds out of an easterly direction through Saturday. Winds will be little higher today and tomorrow around 10 to 15 knots. These winds will calm down for Thursday through Saturday and sit around 5 to 10 knots. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 206 PM EDT Tue Apr 14 2026 Strong ridging is bringing drier air across much of the southeast. We will see RH get down to around critical levels for on inland locations during the afternoon from Wednesday through Saturday. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TPA 88 65 86 65 / 0 0 0 0 FMY 89 63 87 63 / 0 0 0 0 GIF 87 61 87 62 / 0 0 0 0 SRQ 86 63 85 63 / 0 0 0 0 BKV 89 56 88 56 / 0 0 0 0 SPG 88 70 87 70 / 0 0 0 0 && .TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. Gulf waters...None. && $$ DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...Shiveley DECISION SUPPORT...Flannery UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...Flannery