FLUS44 KTSA 151026
HWOTSA

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
526 AM CDT Wed Apr 15 2026

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-161030-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
526 AM CDT Wed Apr 15 2026

...SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL THROUGH TONIGHT...

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
TORNADO.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Northeast and East-Central Oklahoma and Western Arkansas.
	ONSET...This Afternoon.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...Elevated.
	AREA...Northeast and East-Central Oklahoma and Western Arkansas.
	ONSET...This Afternoon.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Northeast Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
	ONSET...This Evening.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Western Arkansas.
	ONSET...Mid-morning.

DISCUSSION...

Scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop this afternoon
across northeast and east-central Oklahoma into western Arkansas.
The storms will be developing in an unstable and strongly sheared
environment and will be capable of producing higher-end severe
weather, in the form of very large hail, locally damaging winds
and tornadoes. Storms are expected to gradually grow upscale into
a complex and move east into the evening, with the threat
transitioning to damaging wind and quick spin-up tornadoes. The
severe weather threat is expected to wane after midnight. Swaths
of locally heavy rainfall will warrant a limited flash flood
threat across northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Likely.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.
THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
FRIDAY...Severe Thunderstorm...High Wind Potential.
SATURDAY...High Wind Potential.
SUNDAY and MONDAY...No Hazards.
TUESDAY...High Wind Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

Some early morning thunderstorms may linger over western Arkansas
Thursday morning before moving east. Isolated afternoon storms
could develop over portions of far eastern Oklahoma into western
Arkansas Thursday afternoon. If a storm develops, it would have
potential to become severe.

More thunderstorms are expected to develop across northern
Oklahoma Friday afternoon along a dryline, ahead of an upper
storm system and associated surface low pressure and cold front.
These storms will have a decent chance of becoming severe in an
unstable and strongly sheared environment, and would be capable of
producing higher-end severe weather. This includes very large
hail, locally damaging wind and tornadoes. Eventually, the cold
front will overtake the dryline and will force a band of storms
along it, with a damaging wind threat Friday night.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$