ACUS11 KWNS 150053 SWOMCD SPC MCD 150053 KSZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-150230- Mesoscale Discussion 0435 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0753 PM CDT Tue Apr 14 2026 Areas affected...Northwest Texas to southern KS Concerning...Tornado Watch 110... Valid 150053Z - 150230Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 110 continues. SUMMARY...The stronger storms with wind/hail are expected from northwest Texas into southwest Oklahoma through 02z, while more isolated storm development could occur along the retreating dryline into south central Kansas. DISCUSSION...Widespread convection and rain-cooled air, in addition to messy convective modes and storm interference, have largely limited the severe threat to occasional severe gusts and isolated large hail this evening from northwest TX into southwest OK. There will still be the potential for additional severe storms along the edge of the rain-cooled air along the I-44 corridor near and northeast of Wichita Falls through 02z. The 00z OUN and FWD soundings still show weak convective inhibition which will increase slowly this evening with gradual surface cooling. Still, lingering moderate buoyancy and a modest increase in low-level shear through late evening could support a supercell and conditional tornado threat along the rain-cooled boundary. Otherwise, damaging winds and isolated large hail will be the main threats. The presence of persistent anvil rain casts doubt on the short-term severe threat north of I-44 into central OK. Farther north, there have been recent attempts at deep convection along the retreating dryline near the OK/KS border, though the persistence of this convection is in question. If a sustained storm does manage to form into southern KS, the environment will favor isolated large hail and a conditional tornado threat. ..Thompson.. 04/15/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN...DDC... LAT...LON 34729725 34199767 33949814 33749873 33819897 34359904 34689845 35069821 35739839 37069862 37649815 38009753 37959715 37489703 36529727 35829709 35069712 34729725 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN