639 

AXNT20 KNHC 132252
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Tue Apr 14 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2230 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

Gale Warning E of 35W: Meteo-France has issued Gale Warnings for
the marine zones of Agadir through 14/12Z, and Tarfaya through
14/00Z. The pressure gradient between a 1027 mb high pressure
located midway between the Azores and the Madeira Islands and
relatively lower pressures in NW Africa supports these gale force
winds with severe gusts. Very rough seas, in long period NW swell,
are also reaching this area.

Please refer to the Meteo-France High Seas Forecast product, listed
on the website at https://wwmiws.wmo.int. for more information.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 09N13W, then
continues SW to near 00S31W. The ITCZ extends from 00S31W to near
01S43W. Scattered moderate convection is noted S of 02N and W of
30W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

High pressure centered over the western Atlantic extends a ridge
across Florida into the Gulf region. Under the influence of this
system, fresh NE to E winds and moderate seas are noted over the
SE Gulf, including the Straits of Florida. Moderate to fresh E
winds are observed W of the Yucatan peninsula associated with a
thermal trough. Moderate to locally fresh E to SE winds and
moderate seas are observed elsewhere.

For the forecast, the aforementioned high pressure will maintain
moderate to fresh E to SE winds and moderate seas through Fri.
Expect stronger winds to pulse across the SE part of the Gulf,
including the Florida Straits through Tue, and off the Yucatan
Peninsula each night through Wed, driven by local effects
associated with a thermal trough.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

A stationary front over the Atlantic that reaches northern Hispaniola
and a pre-frontal trough are helping to induce scattered showers
and thunderstorms over the NE Caribbean N of 17N and E of 70W.
High pressure over the western Atlantic combined with the
Colombian low supports fresh to strong trades over the south-
central Caribbean, including the Gulf of Venezuela. Seas are 8 to
9 ft offshore Colombia. Fresh winds and moderate seas are also
noted in the Windward Passage and in the lee of Cuba. Moderate
with fresh NE to E winds and 3 to 6 ft seas prevail elsewhere in
the Caribbean Sea.

For the forecast, high pressure over the western Atlantic combined
with the Colombian low will maintain fresh to strong trade winds
and rough seas over the south-central Caribbean and near the coast
of Colombia through Wed night. Fresh to strong northeast winds
and building seas will prevail south of Cuba, in the Windward
Passage, and south of Hispaniola through Wed night as well. Winds
and seas will diminish across the basin late in the week.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please read the Special Features section about Gale Warnings off
Morocco.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active along a frontal
boundary across the central Atlantic. A cold front enters the
basin near 31N47W to 23N63W. A stationary front is from that point
to a 1014 mb low pres near 20N65W to 20N71W. Fresh to near-gale
NE winds and seas of 8 to 11 ft are found near and behind the
low/fronts. High pressure follows the front and extends a ridge
across the western Atlantic and Florida into the Gulf of America.
E of the front, high pressure of 1027 mb located midway between
the Azores and the Madeira Islands dominates the remainder of the
Atlantic region. Moderate to fresh N to NE winds are noted per
scatterometer data N of 10N and S of a line from 30N19W to 24N40W.
Seas of 6 to 10 ft are within these winds. Elsewhere, moderate or
weaker winds and moderate seas prevail.

For the forecast west of 55W, the fronts will dissipate tonight
but a frontal trough will persist reaching Puerto Rico overnight.
Then, the frontal trough will move westward through Wed while
weakening. Fresh to strong NE winds and rough seas will persist
west of the front/trough mainly south of 27N through midweek, then
diminishing through Fri.

$$
ERA