NZUS99 KIND 160051 RRA
WRKUPD

Surface analysis this evening shows a trough in place from WI to OK.
GOES19 Shows convection along and near this trough. Moderate
southwest flow was in place across Indiana ahead of this feature.
Aloft, vapor shows a plume of moisture streaming into the plains and
Ohio Valley. These features were coming together to generate light
rain showers across Indiana. CAPE across central Indiana has become
rather limited per SPC mesoanalysis pages and recent radar returns
also reflect that as rain intensity across central Indiana the past
few hours has diminished. Looking farther west, stronger convection
was found over MO and IA.

CAMs continue to struggle with the timing and evolution of these
waves beyond a few hours out. Nonetheless, the convection upstream
is still projected to push eastward toward Indiana overnight and
into Thursday morning. Forecast soundings also trend toward some
deep saturation overnight as these feature pass. Due to less
favorable instability across our area, stronger storms are not
expected. Caveat remains a 40knt LLJ that will be present overnight.
Thus will use relative low pops through about 07Z, mainly across the
western area, and then higher pops thereafter as the main forcing
from the west looks to arrive. Given your clouds, rain and good
mixing on southerly winds, lows in the middle 60s are expected.