FGUS51 KTAR 160215
RVFBUF
RIVER FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...NORTON, MA
1014 PM EDT Wed Apr 15 2026
:
:THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER.
:OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES.
:
:************************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Attica, NY
:Flood stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 3.9 FT at Apr-15 1000 PM
.ER ATTN6 20260416 E DC202604152214/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM
.E1  :0415:                          /   4.0
.E2  :0416:  /   4.5 /   4.5 /   4.4 /   4.6
.E3  :0417:  /   4.9 /   4.8 /   4.6 /   4.4
.E4  :0418:  /   4.2 /   4.1 /   4.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
:   0.05/ 0.05/ 0.13/ 0.49/ 0.05/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.18/
:
:************************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Batavia, NY
:Flood stage 9.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 2.5 FT at Apr-15 1000 PM
.ER BTVN6 20260416 E DC202604152214/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM
.E1  :0415:                          /   2.9
.E2  :0416:  /   3.3 /   3.7 /   3.9 /   4.3
.E3  :0417:  /   4.8 /   5.0 /   4.9 /   4.6
.E4  :0418:  /   4.3 /   3.9 /   3.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
:   0.05/ 0.04/ 0.11/ 0.41/ 0.06/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.18/
:
:************************************************************
:Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY
:Flood stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 3.2 FT at Apr-15 0915 PM
.ER GOWN6 20260416 E DC202604152214/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM
.E1  :0415:                          /   3.9
.E2  :0416:  /   4.8 /   5.4 /   5.5 /   6.6
.E3  :0417:  /   7.4 /   6.7 /   5.7 /   5.3
.E4  :0418:  /   5.1 /   4.8 /   4.2
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
:   0.16/ 0.20/ 0.06/ 0.53/ 0.08/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.18/
:
:************************************************************
:Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY
:Flood stage 7.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 1.6 FT at Apr-15 0915 PM
.ER GDVN6 20260416 E DC202604152214/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM
.E1  :0415:                          /   2.4
.E2  :0416:  /   3.2 /   3.1 /   3.0 /   3.3
.E3  :0417:  /   3.7 /   3.2 /   2.9 /   2.7
.E4  :0418:  /   2.5 /   2.3 /   2.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
:   0.09/ 0.06/ 0.12/ 0.47/ 0.07/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.19/
:
:************************************************************
:Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY
:Flood stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 4.2 FT at Apr-15 0930 PM
:Crest near 6.3 FT around 2AM EDT ON 04/17/2026
.ER LCSN6 20260416 E DC202604152214/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM
.E1  :0415:                          /   5.9
.E2  :0416:  /   5.3 /   5.1 /   5.2 /   6.3
.E3  :0417:  /   5.6 /   5.3 /   5.1 /   5.0
.E4  :0418:  /   4.9 /   4.8 /   4.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
:   0.04/ 0.04/ 0.13/ 0.37/ 0.07/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.19/
:
:************************************************************
:Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY
:Flood stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 3.4 FT at Apr-15 1000 PM
.ER EBZN6 20260416 E DC202604152214/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM
.E1  :0415:                          /   4.3
.E2  :0416:  /   4.9 /   5.0 /   5.6 /   7.8
.E3  :0417:  /   6.2 /   5.9 /   5.6 /   5.3
.E4  :0418:  /   4.9 /   4.6 /   4.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
:   0.08/ 0.08/ 0.12/ 0.50/ 0.07/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.20/
:
:************************************************************
:Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY
:Flood stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 3.1 FT at Apr-15 0915 PM
.ER WILN6 20260416 E DC202604152214/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM
.E1  :0415:                          /   3.2
.E2  :0416:  /   3.5 /   3.7 /   3.9 /   4.1
.E3  :0417:  /   4.2 /   4.2 /   4.0 /   3.9
.E4  :0418:  /   3.7 /   3.5 /   3.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
:   0.05/ 0.04/ 0.08/ 0.26/ 0.08/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.18/
:
:************************************************************
:Genesee River - Wellsville, NY
:Flood stage 11.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value - 5.5 FT at Apr-15 0945 PM
.ER WLLN6 20260416 E DC202604152214/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM
.E1  :0415:                          /   6.2
.E2  :0416:  /   7.1 /   7.1 /   7.1 /   7.3
.E3  :0417:  /   7.2 /   7.0 /   6.8 /   6.6
.E4  :0418:  /   6.5 /   6.3 /   6.2
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
:   0.60/ 0.18/ 0.04/ 0.26/ 0.09/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.08/
:
:*******************************************************************
:
:
$$
:NERFC
:...END of MESSAGE...