FNUS74 KAMA 141058 FWSAMA Spot Forecast for Paper Wings...Texas A&M Forest Service National Weather Service Amarillo TX 558 AM CDT Tue Apr 14 2026 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 CDT on April 14. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. Please contact our office at (806) 335-1421, if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING... .DISCUSSION... Critical fire weather conditions are expected for the spot area this afternoon and evening. Conditions today are wind driven, but RH values will easily drop below 20% this afternoon. Strong, southwesterly winds are expected to start around 10 AM and last through 10 PM tonight. No major wind direction shift is expected today, (Unless influenced by a thunderstorm). Peak non-convective gusts up to 45 mph are expected and may occur between 2-6 PM. A chance for thunderstorms is also present in the spot area later this afternoon and evening. Any storm that forms will pose hazards of sporadic winds and cloud-to-ground lightning. A low chance (5%) for severe storms are also present today, and will be highly disruptive for crews if one can form over the area. Damaging winds (+65 mph) and large hail are the primary hazards for severe storms, though a tornado cannot be ruled out. One positive for the severe storm case is heavy rainfall will aid highly against fire spread. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of showers early in the afternoon. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......30 percent. Max temperature.....Around 89. Min humidity........18 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 7 to 15 mph increasing to 17 to 24 mph with gusts to around 35 mph late in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......10200 ft AGL increasing to 12200 ft AGL late in the afternoon. Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 18 mph increasing to 36 to 37 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7200 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to excellent (104500 knot-ft) in the afternoon increasing to excellent (296900 knot-ft). TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky cover.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC PC PC PC PC Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ SCH SCH Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 30 30 Temp............61 64 67 75 79 82 85 87 87 87 88 RH..............65 56 50 37 31 26 21 19 18 18 18 20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S S 20 FT wind spd..7 10 10 15 17 20 22 22 22 23 24 20 FT wind gust.13 14 14 21 23 26 32 32 32 34 35 Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.6 0.8 1.6 4.8 7.3 10 12 12 12 10 Transp wind dir.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW Transp wind spd.15 15 16 18 25 29 33 36 37 36 36 Vrate kt-ft/1K..7 7 11 26 105 182 297 357 389 376 317 Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR VGD EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms early in the evening. Slight chance of showers overnight. Chance of pcpn......30 percent. Min temperature.....Around 57. Max humidity........65 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds 14 to 23 mph with gusts to around 34 mph shifting to the southwest 8 to 13 mph overnight. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early in the evening. Mixing height.......600 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 26 to 33 mph becoming southwest 14 to 23 mph in the late evening and overnight. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (213700 knot-ft) decreasing to fair (15200 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing to poor (6600 knot-ft) late in the night early in the evening. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky cover.......PC MC MC MC PC PC PC PC MC MC MC MC Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH Chc of pcpn (%).30 30 30 30 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 Temp............86 85 82 76 72 71 70 68 67 66 64 63 RH..............20 21 28 40 51 55 57 63 63 63 65 62 20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S S SW SW SW 20 FT wind spd..23 21 22 22 20 20 14 13 12 9 9 8 20 FT wind gust.34 30 30 30 26 25 19 16 15 14 14 13 Mix hgt (kft)...9.7 7.6 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 Transp wind dir.SW SW S S S S S S S S SW SW Transp wind spd.33 32 28 26 23 22 21 18 18 17 16 14 Vrate kt-ft/1K..282 214 15 13 15 12 11 9 9 8 8 7 Ventrate Cat....EXL EXL PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance of rain showers in the morning, then chance of rain showers in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......30 percent. Max temperature.....Around 86. Min humidity........9 percent. Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 14 mph. Mixing height.......10200 ft AGL increasing to 13600 ft AGL late in the afternoon. Transport winds.....West around 12 mph shifting to the southwest 17 to 21 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5300 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to excellent (65700 knot-ft) in the afternoon increasing to excellent (227200 knot-ft). TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky cover.......MC MC MC PC PC MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR CLR MCR Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 20 30 30 30 30 30 Temp............61 60 58 63 70 74 78 80 82 84 85 85 RH..............65 60 49 36 28 21 17 14 12 11 10 10 20 FT wind dir..W SW W W NW W W W W SW SW SW 20 FT wind spd..6 5 6 7 8 9 10 12 13 14 14 14 20 FT wind gust.11 11 11 11 12 13 14 15 18 19 20 20 Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.5 0.7 1.6 3.2 5.4 7.9 10 12 13 14 14 Transp wind dir.W W NW NW W W W W W SW SW SW Transp wind spd.12 12 10 10 12 14 17 20 21 20 20 21 Vrate kt-ft/1K..6 5 7 15 32 66 117 173 209 227 230 239 Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR GD VGD EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL $$ Forecaster...Rangel Requested by...Sage Swimmer Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2610252.0/AMA .DELDT 04/14/26 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0