FNUS73 KAPX 111017 FWSAPX Spot Forecast for Welcome Lake North...USFS National Weather Service Gaylord MI 617 AM EDT Sat Apr 11 2026 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 EDT on April 11. If conditions become unrepresentative... contact the National Weather Service. Please contact our office at (989)732-9306, if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. .DISCUSSION...High pressure will be over lower Michigan today. Plenty of sunshine today, though clouds will start to increase in the afternoon. The Lake Huron lake breeze should reach this burn site around mid-afternoon. Before then, a light westerly breeze will be less than 10 mph. After, a southeast breeze will be around 10 mph. Humidity levels bottom out in the mid 40s percent. Mixing heights will increase to near 4000 ft early in the afternoon. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Chance of thunder...0 percent. Max temperature.....Around 51. Min humidity........46 percent. 20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southeast 8 to 12 mph mid afternoon. Transport winds.....Northwest 3 to 7 mph shifting to the southwest 8 to 9 mph late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......300-2000 ft AGL increasing to 3600-5000 ft AGL. Ventilation index...Poor to fair (10.0-299.0). TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........6 8 7 2 1 3 12 22 40 49 35 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............26 28 32 38 42 44 46 49 49 49 50 RH..............100 100 85 67 57 53 51 48 46 48 46 20 ft wind dir..W W NW NW NW SW SW SE SE SE SE 20 ft wind spd..2 2 2 2 2 3 3 7 8 8 8 20 ft wind gust.5 5 6 6 6 8 8 11 12 12 12 Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.4 0.7 2.0 2.8 3.4 4.3 5.0 4.9 4.3 3.6 Transp wind dir.W NW NW NW NW NW W W W SW S Transp wind spd.3 3 5 6 5 6 7 7 7 8 9 Vrate kt-ft.....10 11 29 102 110 171 255 298 296 299 288 Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR FR FR FR .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of rain late in the evening. Chance of rain overnight, then rain likely early in the morning. Chance of thunder...8 percent. Min temperature.....Around 34. Max humidity........96 percent. 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening becoming light, then becoming southeast around 5 mph overnight. Transport winds.....South 8 to 13 mph. Mixing height.......1300-2600 ft AGL decreasing to 400-600 ft AGL early in the evening. Ventilation index...Poor to fair (31.0-262.0). TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........31 31 24 52 65 72 64 78 76 87 86 88 Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY Weather type.... RN RN RN RN RN RN RN Tstm cov........ Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 Temp............48 46 43 39 38 36 36 35 34 35 35 35 RH..............47 49 55 62 64 69 69 72 75 75 78 82 20 ft wind dir..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S 20 ft wind spd..6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 8 8 8 20 ft wind gust.12 12 12 12 12 12 14 14 14 15 15 15 Mix hgt (kft)...2.6 1.3 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S S S S S Transp wind spd.12 12 8 8 10 12 12 13 12 12 12 12 Vrate kt-ft.....262 131 40 31 42 45 45 55 47 47 53 50 Ventrate Cat....FR FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain through the day. Chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Chance of thunder...27 percent. Max temperature.....Around 61. Min humidity........77 percent. 20-foot winds.......South winds 6 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Transport winds.....South 12 to 16 mph increasing to 16 to 25 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Mixing height.......600-1300 ft AGL. Ventilation index...Poor to fair (60.0-277.0). TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........88 87 91 89 89 89 88 86 85 84 82 81 Weather cov.....LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY LKY Weather type....RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC Chc of thdr (%).10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 30 Temp............36 36 36 36 37 39 41 43 46 49 52 55 RH..............82 85 92 96 96 92 89 89 86 83 83 80 20 ft wind dir..SE SE SE S S S S S S S S S 20 ft wind spd..10 10 10 10 10 10 12 12 12 12 12 12 20 ft wind gust.18 18 18 21 21 21 20 20 20 22 22 22 Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.7 0.8 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.9 1.0 Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S S S S S Transp wind spd.12 12 16 23 25 21 22 21 18 17 16 16 Vrate kt-ft.....60 68 110 247 277 217 225 196 160 140 133 140 Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR $$ Forecaster...JZ Requested by...Matthew Ball Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2610020.0/APX .DELDT 04/11/26 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL matthew.ball1@usda.gov