FNUS71 KLWX 140717 FWSLWX Spot Forecast for CS Farm E...VDOF National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 317 AM EDT Tue Apr 14 2026 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EDT on April 14. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. .DISCUSSION... An upper level ridge will remain in place through mid week. As a result, very warm and dry conditions are expected with an elevated fire weather risk due to marginally low humidities and gusty afternoon winds. A weak cold front will approach the area Friday and may bring a better chance of showers, but widespread wetting rains are not expected. A stronger cold front will cross the area at the start of next week and offers the best chance of rain in more than a week. .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms late in the afternoon. CWR.................0 percent increasing to 20 percent late in the afternoon. Chance of thunder...8 percent. Temperature.........63 at ignition...Max 89. RH..................56 percent at ignition...Min 32 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Winds southwest at 5 mph at ignition...otherwise Southwest winds 5 to 14 mph with gusts to around 25 mph increasing to around 15 mph with gusts to around 26 mph late in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......700 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 8200 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West 7 to 16 mph increasing to 17 to 21 mph late in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor /5600 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...excellent /90800 knot-ft/ increasing to excellent (112000 knot-ft) late in the afternoon. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........36 43 30 33 22 38 26 27 19 25 20 23 Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH SCH Weather type.... RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH SCH CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 Temp............63 64 65 69 73 78 82 85 87 89 89 88 RH..............56 54 54 49 44 37 35 35 34 33 32 34 20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT wind spd..5 5 5 6 7 8 9 12 13 14 15 15 20 FT wind gust.6 6 6 7 8 9 10 21 23 25 26 26 Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.7 0.7 1.1 2.3 3.2 3.7 6.5 7.5 7.9 8.2 7.6 Transp wind dir.W W W W W W W W W W W W Transp wind spd.9 9 7 8 13 13 12 16 17 18 20 21 Vrate kt-ft/1K..6 6 4 8 25 35 38 91 112 126 140 136 Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR GD VGD VGD VGD VGD .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms early in the evening. CWR.................20 percent decreasing to 0 percent early in the evening. Chance of thunder...8 percent. Temperature.........Min 68. RH..................Max 61 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 13 mph in the evening and overnight becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early in the evening. Mixing height.......700 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West 9 to 18 mph decreasing to around 8 mph early in the morning. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (82400 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing to poor (4900 knot-ft) late in the night. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........15 13 19 32 25 21 17 18 18 10 27 11 Weather cov.....SCH SCH Weather type....RW RW Tstm cov........SCH SCH CWR.............20 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Chc of thdr (%).10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............87 85 82 79 77 75 73 73 72 71 69 68 RH..............34 35 38 41 43 46 49 49 53 53 59 61 20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W 20 FT wind spd..13 10 8 7 6 5 5 5 5 5 3 3 20 FT wind gust.23 12 9 8 7 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 Mix hgt (kft)...5.2 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 Transp wind dir.W SW W W W W W W W W W W Transp wind spd.18 13 12 10 12 10 10 9 9 9 9 8 Vrate kt-ft/1K..82 12 9 7 8 7 6 6 6 6 6 5 Ventrate Cat....GD PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). CWR.................10 percent. Chance of thunder...5 percent. Temperature.........Max 92. RH..................Min 27 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 14 mph with gusts to around 25 mph early in the morning. Mixing height.......8400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West 7 to 15 mph increasing to 17 to 20 mph late in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4500 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to excellent (95200 knot-ft) in the afternoon increasing to excellent (122800 knot-ft) late in the afternoon. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........21 10 10 7 13 19 23 26 30 31 31 32 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 0 Temp............68 68 71 74 79 84 87 90 91 92 92 91 RH..............59 61 55 50 44 38 35 32 30 28 27 27 20 FT wind dir..W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT wind spd..3 3 5 6 8 9 10 10 12 13 14 14 20 FT wind gust.5 5 6 7 9 10 12 12 21 23 25 25 Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.7 0.7 1.7 2.9 3.8 4.8 6.1 7.3 8.2 8.4 7.8 Transp wind dir.W W W W W W W W W W W W Transp wind spd.9 8 7 8 10 9 10 13 15 17 20 20 Vrate kt-ft/1K..6 5 5 12 26 31 43 67 95 123 144 133 Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR FR GD GD VGD VGD VGD $$ Forecaster...Rosa Requested by...Tyler Hill Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2610240.0/LWX .DELDT 04/14/26 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL tyler.hill@dof.virginia.gov, shawn.smith@noaa.gov