FGUS51 KTAR 150215 RVFBUF RIVER FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...NORTON, MA 1015 PM EDT Tue Apr 14 2026 : :THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER. :OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES. : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Attica, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.7 FT at Apr-14 1000 PM .ER ATTN6 20260415 E DC202604142215/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0414: / 3.7 .E2 :0415: / 3.8 / 4.1 / 4.1 / 4.2 .E3 :0416: / 4.2 / 4.2 / 4.2 / 4.2 .E4 :0417: / 4.2 / 4.2 / 4.2 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.30/ 0.02/ 0.16/ 0.06/ 0.13/ 0.01/ 0.08/ 0.12/ 0.09/ 0.05/ 0.01/ : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Batavia, NY :Flood stage 9.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.5 FT at Apr-14 1000 PM .ER BTVN6 20260415 E DC202604142215/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0414: / 2.4 .E2 :0415: / 2.4 / 2.6 / 2.9 / 3.1 .E3 :0416: / 3.2 / 3.3 / 3.4 / 3.5 .E4 :0417: / 3.5 / 3.6 / 3.6 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.28/ 0.02/ 0.14/ 0.06/ 0.12/ 0.01/ 0.07/ 0.12/ 0.08/ 0.05/ 0.01/ : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY :Flood stage 12.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.6 FT at Apr-14 1000 PM .ER RAPN6 20260415 E DC202604142215/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0414: / 2.7 .E2 :0415: / 2.7 / 2.7 / 2.8 / 2.9 .E3 :0416: / 3.0 / 3.2 / 3.4 / 3.7 .E4 :0417: / 4.0 / 4.3 / 4.6 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.28/ 0.01/ 0.11/ 0.05/ 0.14/ 0.02/ 0.06/ 0.11/ 0.08/ 0.05/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.0 FT at Apr-14 0915 PM .ER GOWN6 20260415 E DC202604142215/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0414: / 2.9 .E2 :0415: / 3.5 / 4.0 / 4.2 / 4.3 .E3 :0416: / 4.5 / 4.6 / 4.6 / 4.7 .E4 :0417: / 4.8 / 4.7 / 4.5 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.31/ 0.04/ 0.21/ 0.08/ 0.19/ 0.01/ 0.13/ 0.15/ 0.09/ 0.04/ 0.01/ : :************************************************************ :Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY :Flood stage 7.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.2 FT at Apr-14 0915 PM .ER GDVN6 20260415 E DC202604142215/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0414: / 1.2 .E2 :0415: / 2.4 / 2.2 / 2.5 / 2.4 .E3 :0416: / 2.7 / 2.4 / 2.5 / 2.6 .E4 :0417: / 2.6 / 2.5 / 2.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.34/ 0.02/ 0.14/ 0.06/ 0.14/ 0.01/ 0.09/ 0.13/ 0.08/ 0.04/ 0.01/ : :************************************************************ :Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 4.1 FT at Apr-14 0930 PM .ER LCSN6 20260415 E DC202604142215/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0414: / 4.1 .E2 :0415: / 4.5 / 4.7 / 4.9 / 4.9 .E3 :0416: / 5.0 / 5.0 / 5.0 / 5.0 .E4 :0417: / 5.0 / 5.0 / 5.0 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.36/ 0.01/ 0.16/ 0.06/ 0.13/ 0.02/ 0.07/ 0.12/ 0.08/ 0.05/ 0.01/ : :************************************************************ :Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.1 FT at Apr-14 1000 PM .ER EBZN6 20260415 E DC202604142215/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0414: / 3.0 .E2 :0415: / 3.6 / 4.1 / 4.3 / 4.5 .E3 :0416: / 4.7 / 4.7 / 4.7 / 4.9 .E4 :0417: / 4.9 / 4.9 / 4.8 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.35/ 0.02/ 0.14/ 0.06/ 0.16/ 0.02/ 0.10/ 0.14/ 0.09/ 0.04/ 0.01/ : :************************************************************ :Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.6 FT at Apr-14 0915 PM .ER WILN6 20260415 E DC202604142215/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0414: / 2.6 .E2 :0415: / 2.8 / 2.8 / 2.9 / 3.1 .E3 :0416: / 3.3 / 3.4 / 3.5 / 3.6 .E4 :0417: / 3.7 / 3.7 / 3.7 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.32/ 0.01/ 0.13/ 0.06/ 0.14/ 0.02/ 0.07/ 0.12/ 0.08/ 0.05/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Wellsville, NY :Flood stage 11.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 5.3 FT at Apr-14 0945 PM .ER WLLN6 20260415 E DC202604142215/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0414: / 5.4 .E2 :0415: / 5.4 / 5.5 / 5.9 / 6.6 .E3 :0416: / 6.7 / 6.6 / 6.5 / 6.4 .E4 :0417: / 6.3 / 6.2 / 6.2 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.10/ 0.06/ 0.39/ 0.21/ 0.05/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.05/ 0.02/ 0.06/ 0.02/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Portageville, NY :Flood stage 19.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 10.2 FT at Apr-14 1000 PM .ER PRTN6 20260415 E DC202604142215/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0414: / 10.2 .E2 :0415: / 10.5 / 10.7 / 11.0 / 11.3 .E3 :0416: / 11.7 / 11.9 / 12.0 / 11.9 .E4 :0417: / 11.9 / 11.8 / 11.8 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.21/ 0.06/ 0.21/ 0.13/ 0.11/ 0.00/ 0.09/ 0.09/ 0.06/ 0.06/ 0.01/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Mount Morris Dam, NY :Flood stage 760.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 646.6 FT at Apr-14 0900 PM .ER MMDN6 20260415 E DC202604142215/DH02/HPIFF/DIH6 :POOL FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0414: / 645.5 .E2 :0415: / 644.2 / 642.9 / 641.8 / 640.8 .E3 :0416: / 640.2 / 639.8 / 639.6 / 639.6 .E4 :0417: / 639.6 / 639.5 / 639.5 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.21/ 0.05/ 0.10/ 0.07/ 0.08/ 0.00/ 0.08/ 0.10/ 0.08/ 0.05/ 0.01/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Avon, NY :Flood stage 33.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 28.8 FT at Apr-14 0915 PM .ER AVON6 20260415 E DC202604142215/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0414: / 28.7 .E2 :0415: / 28.7 / 28.6 / 28.7 / 28.8 .E3 :0416: / 29.0 / 29.2 / 29.3 / 29.4 .E4 :0417: / 29.5 / 29.6 / 29.7 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.21/ 0.02/ 0.10/ 0.10/ 0.07/ 0.01/ 0.08/ 0.12/ 0.08/ 0.06/ 0.01/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION :************************************************************ :Oatka Creek - Garbutt, NY :Flood stage 6.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.3 FT at Apr-14 1000 PM .ER GRBN6 20260415 E DC202604142215/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0414: / 3.2 .E2 :0415: / 3.2 / 3.2 / 3.3 / 3.4 .E3 :0416: / 3.6 / 3.8 / 3.9 / 4.0 .E4 :0417: / 4.1 / 4.1 / 4.1 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.23/ 0.02/ 0.11/ 0.06/ 0.10/ 0.01/ 0.07/ 0.11/ 0.08/ 0.06/ 0.01/ : :************************************************************ :Black Creek - Churchville, NY :Flood stage 6.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.4 FT at Apr-14 1000 PM .ER CHRN6 20260415 E DC202604142215/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0414: / 2.4 .E2 :0415: / 2.4 / 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.7 .E3 :0416: / 2.9 / 3.1 / 3.3 / 3.5 .E4 :0417: / 3.6 / 3.7 / 3.8 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.23/ 0.01/ 0.07/ 0.05/ 0.11/ 0.02/ 0.06/ 0.11/ 0.08/ 0.05/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Rochester, NY :Flood stage 15.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 10.7 FT at Apr-14 0800 AM .ER RHRN6 20260415 E DC202604142215/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0414: / 10.4 .E2 :0415: / 10.2 / 10.2 / 10.2 / 10.3 .E3 :0416: / 10.6 / 11.0 / 11.4 / 11.7 .E4 :0417: / 11.8 / 12.0 / 12.1 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.17/ 0.01/ 0.06/ 0.06/ 0.10/ 0.01/ 0.08/ 0.13/ 0.08/ 0.06/ 0.00/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION :************************************************************ :Honeoye Creek - Honeoye Falls, NY :Flood stage 6.5 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.7 FT at Apr-14 0930 PM .ER HNYN6 20260415 E DC202604142215/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0414: / 3.7 .E2 :0415: / 3.7 / 3.7 / 3.8 / 3.9 .E3 :0416: / 4.1 / 4.2 / 4.3 / 4.3 .E4 :0417: / 4.3 / 4.4 / 4.5 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.21/ 0.02/ 0.10/ 0.16/ 0.07/ 0.01/ 0.09/ 0.12/ 0.07/ 0.07/ 0.02/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION :************************************************************ :Canandaigua Lake - Canandaigua, NY :Flood stage 690.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 689.0 FT at Apr-14 0916 PM .ER CNDN6 20260415 E DC202604142215/DH02/HPIFF/DIH6 :POOL FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0414: / 689.0 .E2 :0415: / 688.9 / 688.9 / 688.9 / 688.9 .E3 :0416: / 688.9 / 688.9 / 688.9 / 688.9 .E4 :0417: / 688.9 / 688.9 / 688.9 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.19/ 0.03/ 0.07/ 0.18/ 0.06/ 0.00/ 0.07/ 0.12/ 0.06/ 0.07/ 0.02/ : :************************************************************ :Canandaigua Outlet - Chapin, NY :Flood stage 7.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 5.5 FT at Apr-14 0930 PM .ER CPNN6 20260415 E DC202604142215/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0414: / 5.5 .E2 :0415: / 5.5 / 5.5 / 5.5 / 5.5 .E3 :0416: / 5.6 / 5.6 / 5.5 / 5.5 .E4 :0417: / 5.5 / 5.5 / 5.5 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : : :************************************************************ :Black River - Boonville, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 5.8 FT at Apr-14 1000 PM .ER BOON6 20260415 E DC202604142215/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0414: / 5.8 .E2 :0415: / 5.7 / 5.7 / 5.7 / 5.7 .E3 :0416: / 5.7 / 5.8 / 5.9 / 6.1 .E4 :0417: / 6.3 / 6.6 / 6.8 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.08/ 0.05/ 0.02/ 0.09/ 0.10/ 0.15/ 0.16/ 0.06/ 0.10/ 0.04/ : :************************************************************ :Moose River - McKeever, NY :Flood stage 12.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 4.7 FT at Apr-14 0930 PM .ER MCKN6 20260415 E DC202604142215/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0414: / 4.8 .E2 :0415: / 4.8 / 4.9 / 5.0 / 4.9 .E3 :0416: / 5.0 / 5.1 / 5.3 / 5.6 .E4 :0417: / 5.7 / 5.9 / 5.9 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.12/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.08/ 0.07/ 0.13/ 0.15/ 0.07/ 0.10/ 0.03/ : :************************************************************ :Black River - Watertown, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 6.1 FT at Apr-14 0930 PM .ER ARTN6 20260415 E DC202604142215/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0414: / 6.2 .E2 :0415: / 6.5 / 6.6 / 6.6 / 6.6 .E3 :0416: / 6.6 / 6.6 / 6.6 / 6.7 .E4 :0417: / 6.8 / 7.0 / 7.0 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.09/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.10/ 0.09/ 0.14/ 0.14/ 0.08/ 0.09/ 0.02/ : :******************************************************************* : : $$ :NERFC :...END of MESSAGE...